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January 21, 2013

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Moti

This book sounds quite interesting, and I'll have to give it a read once I get back to Montreal, whenever that may be. I've read both your review here and the one you link to, and I have a few questions that perhaps we can talk about in advance of my actually reading the thing.

First, I'm curious about how you think the entrenchedness of meritocracy might interact with enhanced personal views of merit and possible outcomes. By this, I mean that people outside the elite (or even potentially within it) make decisions about how to lead their lives and what positions to support in social discourse that rely on the idea that they themselves will be among the elite before too long. This idea may be reinforced by the presence of people within the elite who don't really have much in the way of discernible talent or skills, but more broadly, people just tend to think of themselves as above average. While this can manifest in terms of relatively harmless personal ability judgments (e.g. most people think they're better than average drivers), it can also come out as a case of overestimating one's abilities, as with the law school example you site. Sure, employment prospects may not be great, but you're pretty awesome; you'll probably be one of the ones that breaks through. And then if it turns out you really were average at that level, then you were rooked, as you say. I'll be interested to see now that knowledge about this is really out there whether behavior will really change.

My guess is that it might not, looking at other grad school ideas. It's pretty well-known that going and getting a PhD, particularly in the humanities, isn't exactly going to be an easy ride; it's years of poverty for an uncertain outcome. Sure, getting tenure and being among the elite (at least, as academics go) has allure, but 2/3 of faculty are adjuncts now, due to changes in the educational system over the past 4 decades (which would really be the subject of a different argument). But higher education runs on grad student and adjunct labor, and there's no sign that's drying up, even though the job market's been terrible for years.

I'd say that this is because everyone thinks they can get into the elite, and so there's a lot of political will for maintaining the prerogatives and benefits of the elite classes because a lot of people think they might well get there eventually, and they want to have access to those perks when they do. It's a basic misunderstanding of statistics, on some level.

Definitely, I agree with you (and I suppose by extension, the author) regarding the idea that we've entrenched an oligarchy, and that fraud is rather more of an issue now; I'll have to read more about that. I think, however, that I'd like to take up a couple of your questions. I'm not sure that we didn't have a cosmopolitan global elite earlier than the current age; people did get around more than one perhaps thinks, and definitely people were making comparisons to others at their level in other countries. That must have been the case for a lot of nobility, after all, although you're probably right that the important thing was being premier among those in your area. Perhaps the difference is that people really genuinely rarely make comparisons at the town level now, at least from my experience. It's all between different people and different places.

Secondly, I think you might have a more in-depth take on this, being actually around DC, but I think it's hard to stay in civil service, and people do generally try to move out. At times like this, where there's a lot of squeezing on the government, people that I know that work in civil service don't feel as if their jobs are secure, and are consequently often looking for opportunities to jump ship while the getting's good. There are some people who do likely really want to stay within government, but I think it's likely less meritocracy than who's willing to put up with the problems and stick it out, at this point. At least in the US; I feel like this might be different in Canada.

Anyway, just some thoughts; we should talk more about this once I've read it. ^_^

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